Why you shouldn’t be alarmed by cases of covid

More cases of covid… That’s all we seem to have heard for 16 months. Cases, cases, cases. And some deaths.

And while India is in the news this week over the number of deaths there, apparently related to covid infections, in a country of 1.4 billion people, a daily death rate of 3,000 to 4,000 people is within the normal range.

So in a country of five million (such as New Zealand) 3,000 deaths in one day can be shocking to uninformed newsreaders and the public at large.

But back to the covid cases and alleged covid-related deaths.

The graph below is published by New Zealand’s Ministry of Health in a booklet called “The Immunization Handbook 2020” –  and is found in version 8 of the booklet that was first published in September last year, but this version (8) was published in March 2021. If the previous link doesn’t work, you can download the full PDF here.

The blue line in the graph below, found on page 144,  charts the number of covid cases worldwide (per million people) from January 2020 to  February 2021. You can see how the blue line skyrockets as PCR testing for covid was ramped up.

The red line hovering across the bottom of the graph is the number of deaths said to be related to covid. Remember, while some people are said to have died as a direct result of covid19, the vast majority have died because they were very old and severely unwell and covid19 was the last thing they needed.

Having said that, plenty of people who were deemed to have died as a result of covid were not tested for the virus – doctors and nurses just assumed they may have had covid and – perhaps incorrectly – listed it as a cause of death. Few autopsies are being carried out to establish the exact cause of death.

See People dying following vaccination

Below, the blue line are covid cases. The red line alleged covid deaths.