What are the odds of an adverse reaction to a covid vaccine?

By Charles Coles: It is widely accepted in medical circles that there is a high level of under-reporting when it comes to people having an adverse reaction to a medication, such as the covid jab for example.

One can imagine that this could happen because a patient feels too unwell to report an adverse reaction and then later – when they feel better – they get on with their lives and can’t be bothered, or don’t think to report it.

Or perhaps they don’t connect a headache, chest pain, or heart-attack with the treatment because their doctor assured them there is no evidence the two events are related.

The research paper Under-reporting of adverse drug reactions: a systematic review says under-reporting can be as much as 85% to 95%. That means of all adverse reactions just 5% to 15% are reported.

Health researcher Lynda Wharton estimates only 5% of adverse reactions are being reported to New Zealand’s CARM system.

According to Medsafe (as of 19 June 2021) there have been 973,407 covid vaccinations in New Zealand and of those, 5,339 adverse events have been reported. There is no legal requirement for anyone to report adverse events.

At face value, of those who have had the ‘safe and effective’ vaccine, 5,339 felt worse afterwards. Some had mild symptoms, others suffered a very serious medical event, some have died.

However, if we assume the 5,339 figure equals 15% of adverse reactions to the covid ‘vaccine’, what would the number be if every single adverse reaction was reported? What does a 100% adverse reaction reporting rate look like?

  • Let’s assume 5,339 people equals 15% of adverse reactions
  • We multiply 15% by 6.66 to reach 99.9% (close enough)
  • Let’s multiply 5,339 by 6.66 and we get 35,557 people with an adverse reaction to the covid vaccine

What if 5,339 people equals 5% of adverse reactions?

  • Let’s assume 5,339 people equals 5% of adverse reactions
  • We multiply 5% by 20 to reach 100%
  • Let’s multiply 5,339 by 20 and we get 106,780 people

If the 106,780 figure is closer to the truth then that means the chances of an adverse reaction to the Pfizer vaccine is 10%. That’s one person in 10.

Whichever way you cut it, it is likely more people are suffering an adverse reaction to the vaccine than is being reported in official figures.

The official figure is 5,339 people so far, but it could be 35,000, more than 106,000 – or somewhere in-between. And for some people, an adverse reaction will be with them for the rest of their life, or it might manifest itself much later in life.

Of all those thought to have had a covid-19 infection in New Zealand, 26 have died. Overall, the fatality rate of a covid-19 infection is between 1% and 2%, with the elderly being more prone to serious illness from the virus than younger people.

According to a report in The Guardian newspaper, children’s risk of dying from covid is 0.005%, or two in a million.

It says one study found that 99.995% of the 469,982 children in England who contracted covid during the first 12 months of the pandemic survived.